Crohn’s disease is an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) commonly treated through anti-TNF blockade. However, most patients still relapse and inevitably progress. Comprehensive single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) atlases have largely sampled patients with established treatment-refractory IBD, limiting our understanding of which cell types, subsets, and states at diagnosis anticipate disease severity and response to treatment. Here, through combining clinical, flow cytometry, histology, and scRNA-seq methods, we profile diagnostic human biopsies from the terminal ileum of treatment-naïve pediatric patients with Crohn’s disease (pediCD; n=14), matched repeat biopsies (pediCD-treated; n=8) and from non-inflamed pediatric controls with functional gastrointestinal disorders (FGID; n=13). To resolve and annotate epithelial, stromal, and immune cell states among the 201,883 baseline single-cell transcriptomes, we develop a principled and unbiased tiered clustering approach, ARBOL. Through flow cytometry and scRNA-seq, we observe that treatment-naïve pediCD and FGID have similar broad cell type composition. However, through high-resolution scRNA-seq analysis and microscopy, we identify significant differences in cell subsets and states that arise during pediCD relative to FGID. By closely linking our scRNA-seq analysis with clinical meta-data, we resolve a vector of T cell, innate lymphocyte, myeloid, and epithelial cell states in treatment-naïve pediCD (pediCD-TIME) samples which can distinguish patients along the trajectory of disease severity and anti-TNF response. By using ARBOL with integration, we position repeat on-treatment biopsies from our patients between treatment-naïve pediCD and on-treatment adult CD. We identify that anti-TNF treatment pushes the pediatric cellular ecosystem towards an adult, more treatment-refractory state. Our study jointly leverages a treatment-naïve cohort, high-resolution principled scRNA-seq data analysis, and clinical outcomes to understand which baseline cell states may predict Crohn’s disease trajectory.
